Superforecasting the art and science of prediction
"From one of the world's most highly regarded social scientists, a transformative book on the habits of mind that lead to the best predictions. Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's m...
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| Format: | Books Print Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
New York :
Crown Publishers,
[2015]
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| Edition: | First edition. |
| Subjects: | |
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Table of Contents:
- An optimistic skeptic
- Illusions of knowledge
- Keeping score
- Superforecasters
- Supersmart?
- Superquants?
- Supernewsjunkies?
- Perpetual beta
- Superteams
- The leader's dilemma
- Are they really so super?
- What's next?
- Epilogue
- An invitation
- Appendix: Ten commandments for aspiring superforecasters.
