The signal and the noise why so many predictions--fail but some don't
Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
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| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Books Print Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
New York :
Penguin Press,
2012.
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| 003 | OCoLC | ||
| 005 | 20121210142600.0 | ||
| 008 | 120703s2012 nyua b 001 0 eng | ||
| 010 | |a 2012027308 | ||
| 020 | |a 9781594204111 | ||
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| 050 | 0 | 0 | |a CB158 |b .S54 2012 |
| 082 | 0 | 0 | |a 519.5/42 |2 23 |
| 100 | 1 | |a Silver, Nate, |d 1978- | |
| 245 | 1 | 4 | |a The signal and the noise : |b why so many predictions--fail but some don't / |c Nate Silver. |
| 260 | |a New York : |b Penguin Press, |c 2012. | ||
| 300 | |a 534 p. : |b ill. ; |c 25 cm. | ||
| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references (p. 459-514) and index. | ||
| 505 | 0 | |a A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you. | |
| 520 | |a Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction. | ||
| 650 | 0 | |a Forecasting. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Forecasting |x Methodology. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Forecasting |x History. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Bayesian statistical decision theory. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Knowledge, Theory of. | |
| 690 | 0 | |a Stein, Sylvia tribute | |
| 938 | |a Ingram |b INGR |n 9781594204111 | ||
| 938 | |a Baker and Taylor |b BTCP |n BK0010948244 | ||
| 938 | |a Brodart |b BROD |n 101433204 |c $27.95 | ||
| 938 | |a YBP Library Services |b YANK |n 8753811 | ||
| 938 | |a Coutts Information Services |b COUT |n 21319864 | ||
| 994 | |a C0 |b PCB | ||
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