The signal and the noise why so many predictions--fail but some don't
Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
| Main Author: | Silver, Nate, 1978- |
|---|---|
| Format: | Books Print Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
New York :
Penguin Press,
2012.
|
| Subjects: |
Table of Contents:
- A Catastrophic failure of prediction
- Are you smarter than a television pundit
- All I care about is W's and L's
- For years you've been telling us that rain is green
- Desperately seeking signal
- How to drown in three feet of water
- Role models
- Less and less and less wrong
- Rage against the machines
- The poker bubble
- If you can't beat 'em
- A climate of healthy skepticism
- What you don't know can hurt you.